C19 Notes

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31
the reason why more vaccinated people end up in Hospital than unvaccinated when more folks get vaccinated

this does NOT mean of course that vaccines don't work. (d'load the pdf link in comments below to more easily read detail)

graphic is from https://www.lindadykes.org/downloads
32
C19 Notes Database / Re: A reminder why we have restrictions and wear a mask
« Last post by stog on July 26, 2021, 06:08:09 AM »
(july 26 th 2021) better that the 10% left until 'Herd" is achieved is by vaccination rather than infection, but in reality will probably be a combination, so be careful out there if you are vulnerable, & hopefully then case numbers can fall for a while... time to fund/beef up local T&T response

the importance of it being by vaccination rather than infection is brought out by more and more "Long Covid" reporting such as https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/jul/26/over-450-key-workers-with-long-covid-tell-mps-of-their-struggles  and other reports of studies starting to come out this week

Although this seems to suggest we are a lot closer to herd immunity than many of us thought the proviso being that we can all still catch, transmit & suffer symptoms. though severe symptoms are reduced for many now with vaccines

==

"Vaccination doesn't (yet) give 'sterilising immunity', vaccinated people can still catch and spread COVID. So we will still have high population prevalence."

But it does reduce the severity of symptoms for many and reduce NHS load for the time being.
intermittent Border controls (testing & quarantine where necessary) and good local T & T will be vital in the near future, as we navigate new variant world and possible re-infection or reduced immune response


& levels depend on many factors, including the infectiousness of the virus (variants can evolve that are more infectious) and how people interact with each other.
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C19 Notes Database / Re: A reminder why we have restrictions and wear a mask
« Last post by stog on July 25, 2021, 04:56:52 PM »
my back of the envelope calculation in the top post of this thread, done at the end of last year pre vaccine roll-out, now needs updating

hopefully as with the most vulnerable now vaccinated, and/or still partly shielding , the 1 in 5  of symptom sufferers who then ended up in Hospital is now a much lesser ratio .


but we can all still catch, transmit and suffer symptoms, so vigilance still required


==

An interesting stat I came across from the ONS

ONS estimates 90%+ would have tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies in UK wk beginning 28 June 2021
The presence of antibodies suggests a person previously had COVID-19 or has been vaccinated.
Antibody positivity increases with age, reflecting age prioritisation in vax progs

source COVID-19 antibodies continue to rise in line with vaccinations21 July 2021 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsights
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C19 Notes Database / Re: The Multiplicative Power of Masks
« Last post by stog on June 29, 2021, 08:43:31 AM »
New mask study shows FFP3 masks give best protection (better than surgical blue loose fitting)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57636360
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C19 Notes Database / Possible Origins
« Last post by stog on June 02, 2021, 10:00:20 AM »
Difficult this, but there is a good paper link attached that looks at the various options of where the Covid virus originated.

There will be much more that perhaps appears over future years but this https://thebulletin.org/2021/05/the-origin-of-covid-did-people-or-nature-open-pandoras-box-at-wuhan/
May 5, 2021 article by Nicholas Wade who is a science writer, editor, and author who has worked on the staff of Nature, Science, and, for many years, the New York Times is a good start.


This analysis/opinion is also interesting  https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/01/wuhan-coronavirus-lab-leak-covid-virus-origins-china

   
 
   
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C19 Notes Database / UK Clinical Caseworkers Test and Trace
« Last post by stog on May 16, 2021, 04:51:00 PM »
Chapeau to all the Clinical Caseworkers being made redundant today. Crazy job to be sure.Some of us were put on a Reserve list --Let's hope we won't be needed
37
C19 Notes Database / Re: mRNA vaccine stability
« Last post by stog on March 14, 2021, 12:57:43 PM »
a new safety review of 10 million patients who received the vaccine uncovered

"no evidence of an increased risk of pulmonary embolism or deep vein thrombosis in any defined age group, gender, batch or in any particular country.

"In fact, the observed number of these types of events are significantly lower in those vaccinated than what would be expected among the general population,"



https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/coronavirus-covid19-canada-world-march11-2021-1.5945218
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C19 Notes Database / Re: mRNA vaccine stability
« Last post by stog on March 14, 2021, 12:36:29 PM »
also

Quote
"
At the time of this report, nearly 125,000 people across the UK have died within 28 days of a positive test for coronavirus (COVID-19). Rates of COVID-19 infection and hospitalisation remain high.Vaccination is the single most effective way to reduce deaths and severe illness from COVID-19. A national immunisation campaign has been underway since early December 2020.Two COVID-19 vaccines, Pfizer/BioNTech and Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccines, are currently being used in the UK. Both have been authorised for supply by the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) following a thorough review of safety, quality and efficacy information from clinical trials. In clinical trials, both vaccines showed very high levels of protection against symptomatic infections with COVID-19. We expect data to be available soon on the impact of the vaccination campaign in reducing infections and illness in the UK.All vaccines and medicines have some side effects. These side effects need to be continuously balanced against the expected benefits in preventing illness.

As of 28 February 2021, for the UK, 33,207 Yellow Cards have been reported for the Pfizer/BioNTech, 54,180 have been reported for the Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine, and 251 have been reported where the brand of the vaccine was not specified.
For both vaccines the overall reporting rate is around 3 to 6 Yellow Cards per 1,000 doses administered.

In the week since the previous summary for 21 February 2021 we have received a further 3,492 Yellow Cards for the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, 11,263 for the Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine and 74 where the brand was not specified. A higher number of doses of the Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine were administered in the last week than the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine.


It is important to note that Yellow Card data cannot be used to derive side effect rates or compare the safety profile of COVID-19 vaccinations as many factors can influence ADR reporting.


For both vaccines, the overwhelming majority of reports relate to injection-site reactions (sore arm for example) and generalised symptoms such as ‘flu-like’ illness, headache, chills, fatigue (tiredness), nausea (feeling sick), fever, dizziness, weakness, aching muscles, and rapid heartbeat. Generally, these happen shortly after the vaccination and are not associated with more serious or lasting illness.
These types of reactions reflect the normal immune response triggered by the body to the vaccines. They are typically seen with most types of vaccine and tend to resolve within a day or two. The nature of reported suspected side effects is broadly similar across age groups, although, as was seen in clinical trials and as is usually seen with other vaccines, they may be reported more frequently in younger adults.

Severe allergy
On 9 December 2020, the MHRA issued preliminary guidance on severe allergic reactions after the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine due to early reports of anaphylaxis. Following further detailed review, this advice was amended on 30 December to the current advice. This advice is that people with a previous history of severe allergic reactions to any ingredients of the vaccine should not receive it. People who receive the vaccine should be monitored for at least 15 minutes afterwards.

Widespread use of the vaccine now suggests that severe allergic reactions to the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine are very rare. Anaphylaxis can also be a very rare side effect associated with most other vaccines.


Following very substantial exposure across the UK population, no other new safety concerns have been identified from reports received so far.


Conclusion


The increases in number of ADR reports reflects the increase in vaccine deployment as new vaccination centres have opened across the UK
The number and nature of suspected adverse reactions reported so far are not unusual in comparison to other types of routinely used vaccines    The overall safety experience with both vaccines is so far as expected from the clinical trials Based on current experience, the expected benefits of both COVID-19 vaccines in preventing COVID-19 and its serious complications far outweigh any known side effects   

As with all vaccines and medicines, the safety of COVID-19 vaccines is being continuously monitored

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-adverse-reactions/coronavirus-vaccine-summary-of-yellow-card-reporting
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C19 Notes Database / Re: mRNA vaccine stability
« Last post by stog on March 14, 2021, 12:26:23 PM »
Comment on above

remember we are all different, age , gender, medical condition and history and many of us even physiologically/biochemically and for example , the birth control pill also causes blood clots and a million more side affects yet it is often used for many menstrual cycle complaints.

also


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C19 Notes Database / Re: mRNA vaccine stability
« Last post by stog on March 14, 2021, 12:10:58 PM »
also released today  is the latest on the Oxford AZ vaccine from the Norwegian Medicines Agency on the 4 cases of blood clots so far reported there.

they recommend those who feel increasingly unwell with several large blue patches (skin haemorrhages) more than three days after vaccination, to consult the out-of-hours medical service or their doctor as soon as possible.


Similar incidents have been reported in other European countries, and the European Medicines Agency (EMA) is considering whether there may be an association with the coronavirus vaccines. So far, no conclusion has been reached.


Common to these patients is that they have had a reduced number of blood platelets. Blood clots and subsequent brain haemorrhages are a rare condition.

https://www.fhi.no/en/news/2021/norwegian-medicines-agency-notified-of-blood-clots-and-bleeding-in-younger-/
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