C19 Notes
Retrospective Critical analyses of UK & global public health responses to C19 => Links to Enquiries & academic papers => Topic started by: stog on July 15, 2024, 04:40:53 PM
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Drivers of epidemic dynamics from daily digital COVID measurements
Anonymised data from the NHS COVID-19 contact tracing app provided rich insights into the drivers of the epidemic, at remarkable speed.
https://michellekendall.github.io/2024/07/11/Drivers-of-epi-dynamics/
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(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GSNRpLLW8AAGLFL?format=png&name=small)
"figure shows daily analysis of the relative contributions of different "settings" for epidemic spread, April 2021 - March 2022.
Upper = types of contact for the average person with COVID-19,
lower = COVID-19 transmissions detected by the app"
this from X's @mishkendall
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Household contacts (more than 8 hours per day) accounted for only 6% of contacts but 39% of transmission events,
whereas fleeting interactions (less than half an hour) accounted for 48% of contacts but only 12% of transmission events.
The repeating wave patterns show how types of contact vary by day of the week. No prizes for spotting Christmas day!"
see her Blog https://michellekendall.github.io/blog/
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sharp spikes in transmission in England during last Euros, 2021